The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.

Thursday, April 30, 2009

creeping higher

Gap up today on strong TICK and as price crept up TICK declined the whole time. The tipping point came at the $89 mark (on SPY). Notice also the diverging TICK as price was testing the highs.The momentum oscillator gave us a nice entry at the top of this move (red vertical line). I changed my 3/10 macd to color-code the slow-line so that when it is increasing it is colored green and when decreasing it stays magenta (I had it red, but it stands out better this way). This way it's easier for me to trade based on setups previously outlined.
While this downside move bottomed-out we got a bullish momentum divergence, as price put in a lower low, the momentum oscillator gave us a higher low (also coincides on the 5-min chart with NYSE TICK from above with the divergence).
Watching the 15-min chart we had a number of divergences. From the opening move there showed a bearish divergence between today's high momentum reading and yesterday's. We had a "Slingshot" setup; a divergence where price puts in a higher low on a lower low in momentum. The upside play didn't result in that big of a move (about $0.40), but it played out nonetheless. Afterwards, a bullish momentum divergence set up late in the afternoon, giving us a move back up to the 20-EMA. I'm currently debating moving over to a 10-min chart instead of the 15 for my three-screen setup, just not sure yet.The 30-min chart shows an interesting breakdown in momentum starting today. These higher price highs have come about on lower momentum highs. Also, as the momentum lows have been steadily shallower the triangle that this combination has formed (lower highs, higher lows) broke down today. I really am trying to stay impartial and just offer up what I see and any clues that the tape may be offering up.

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