The SPY currently sits in an island after printing two low-volume, narrow range, stars. After the close we almost eked-out a positive close for 2010.
Selling off the highs today occurred in a similar fashion as it did yesterday, following a bearish engulfing and tweezer top pattern. We saw covering near the previous day's low, keeping us above Monday's gap. In hopes that it will help me react faster in realtime, I'll highlight some hindsight observations. Below is a 1minute chart, broken up in two sections, the early morning and later afternoon. Some key levels to watch include;
PDL = Previous Day's Low
PDH = Previous Day's High
and the Open
This morning we had an active premarket that based around the 112.35 area. The opening test of this level was quickly lifted and we got an immediate test of the PDH.
We came close to testing the Opening price (never actually hit exactly) and strong volume carried price higher after a few minutes. The problem I have is I tend to assume strong volume on a down move (especially coming off of highs where the daily chart currently stands) means that strong volume = selling pressure. However, perhaps watching the T&S will help clue us in to what's really going on, besides, price hesitated at this level for 3 minutes without any further down side bias.
We made another quick move to the PDH, got sold again, retrace (78.6%) again on strong volume, and immediately work higher. We based at the PDH and into an ascending triangle and finally got a pop higher but the overhead resistance just seems to be keeping price at bay up here.
Later in the day we came back under the PDH, and then just fell apart after testing key levels.
The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at email@example.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.