The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
p.s. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site.


Thursday, September 29, 2011

hmmmm

If you squint hard enough things are actually looking a tad bullish here.  It's possible this is turning into another bullish impulse wave which today held a 61.8% retrace.  Price actually coiled/consolidated against this level for 90-minutes until breaking higher into the close and looks to be breaking out from this down sloping trend line. 

SPY - Third test of support, followed by a momentum push up and a tight flagging retrace which held its 61.8% retrace today). So long as these 22nd lows aren't breached we'll have a higher low off of support (so we will next have to take out the 27th swing high above $119).  If bulls step up at $119 price could launch higher.  

IWM - $64.5 support held and price sprang higher today, a similar double-bottom that occurred in early September.  Looking toward $67.5 resistance while a break above $68.50 could keep prices going higher.

QQQ  - Double-bottom after Aug. 22nd and price has held $53 on numerous tests since then (big level to watch if we happen to move below it, otherwise to $55-55.5 resistance and a move over $56 could extend a move even higher.

DIA - a double bottom at $106 followed by a momentum move that is currently flagging.

There seems to be a case for the bulls here (at least for a relief rally), the ball may be in their court, we just need to see follow-through in that direction.  Of course upper resistance will be shorted, but that may be the exact catalyst a rally requires (short covering).

Also worth watch for a clue is how Crude performs out of this trend line after successfully testing the $78 support (though volume sucked at the most recent test)


And here's the ES; broke out of this channel/flag following a bullish impulse off of support.  Volume at support on the 22nd was quite strong.



 

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