Hard not to be non-committal just ahead of FOMC minutes, but the IMF headline certainly shook things up.
Here's a look at the 30-min SPY. The 3d criteria setting up the long and the 2b criteria setting up at prior highs (1-cent above previous, January, highs).
Nothing overly bearish at this point, especially considering the recent run up. The hourly turning negative can preclude some faster time frame short setups, however, it would be preferable to wait for the fast line to tick higher then continue lower (XYZ wave) for an entry on that (hourly) time frame.
As an ammendment to the above 30min chart:
This still has potential to break out from the $184.70 base. If that's the case, the current 30min 2c criteria would be actionable with a faster time frame (10-min below, right) going from 3d criteria to 3a (or 1a).
Support gave way, turning the faster time frame 3d criteria into a 4c continuation and turning the higher time frame (30-min) 3/10macd fast line back down lower after a tick up.
The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at firstname.lastname@example.org
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.